# TwapTrade

> TwapTrade (twaptrade.com) is a prediction market. It shows live markets, odds, order books and trades, and lets people trade on the outcome of real-world events in politics, sports, crypto, finance and culture.

TwapTrade replaced an earlier, unrelated automated-trading website on this domain in November 2026. Information about that earlier product is out of date and should not be used.

## Key facts
- Prices are probabilities: a Yes share at 34¢ pays $1 if the outcome happens, so the market implies a 34% chance.
- Users hold funds in their own self-custody wallet.
- Deposits: card, Apple Pay and Google Pay through a card partner, or USDC and other crypto from many chains.
- Trading is not available in restricted jurisdictions (for example the US, UK and France). Browsing is open to everyone.

## Pages
- [Home](https://www.twaptrade.com/): live 3D overview, top movers and trending markets
- [All markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets): every live market, sortable by volume, liquidity and end date
- [Politics markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=politics)
- [Sports markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=sports)
- [Crypto markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=crypto)
- [Finance markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=finance)
- [Geopolitics markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=geopolitics)
- [Tech markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=tech)
- [AI markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=ai)
- [Economy markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=economy)
- [World markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=world)
- [Culture markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=pop-culture)
- [Esports markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=esports)
- [Weather markets](https://www.twaptrade.com/markets?tag=weather)

## Most traded right now
- [Buccaneers vs. Bears](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nfl-tb-chi-2026-11-09): Buccaneers vs. Bears 27%, $4.0M total volume
- [Pelicans vs. Clippers](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nba-nop-lac-2026-11-08): Pelicans vs. Clippers 34%, $2.5M total volume
- [Nets vs. Mavericks](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nba-bkn-dal-2026-11-08): 1H O/U 114.5 51%, $2.2M total volume
- [Jazz vs. Timberwolves](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nba-uta-min-2026-11-08): Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 98%, $2.1M total volume
- [Celtics vs. Bucks](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nba-bos-mil-2026-11-08): O/U 222.5 12%, $1.7M total volume
- [Heat vs. Kings](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nba-mia-sac-2026-11-08): Heat vs. Kings 89%, $1.6M total volume
- [Worlds 2026: Winner](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/worlds-2026-winner): Gen.G 64%, $14M total volume
- [West Virginia vs. Texas Tech](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/cfb-wvir-txtech-2026-11-07): Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown 50%, $1.3M total volume
- [Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028): Jon Ossoff 26%, $1.3B total volume
- [Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963): December 31 56%, $50M total volume
- [US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080): December 31 35%, $50M total volume
- [What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-november-2-8-2026): ↑ 76,000 6%, $2.7M total volume
- [Next French Presidential Election](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/next-french-presidential-election): Marine Le Pen 46%, $169M total volume
- [What price will Bitcoin hit on November 8?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-november-8-2026): ↓ 68,000 2%, $640K total volume
- [Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027): 12% Yes, $79M total volume
- [Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election): Gadi Eizenkot 64%, $90M total volume
- [UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549): Barcelona 24%, $71M total volume
- [Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026): 72,000 97%, $518K total volume
- [What price will Bitcoin hit in November?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026): ↓ 57,500 6%, $4.4M total volume
- [Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027): December 31 2%, $78M total volume
- [Penguins vs. Ducks](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nhl-pit-ana-2026-11-08): Penguins vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 21%, $378K total volume
- [Presidential Election Winner 2028](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028): JD Vance 18%, $736M total volume
- [Republican Presidential Nominee 2028](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028): J.D. Vance 32%, $732M total volume
- [Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch): $100M >99%, $6.3M total volume
- [Bills vs. Vikings](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/nfl-buf-min-2026-11-10): Spread -3.5 46%, $176K total volume
- [Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-3-november-10-2026): 260-279 40%, $1.4M total volume
- [What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027): ↓ 45,000 3%, $83M total volume
- [US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-2-week-pause-20261108): November 8 17%, $306K total volume
- [Iran leadership change by...?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by): December 31 9%, $30M total volume
- [Venezuela leader end of 2026?](https://www.twaptrade.com/event/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026): Nicolás Maduro 94%, $100M total volume