Trade on what happens next.
Live odds on elections, sports, crypto and culture. Every price is set by real traders, and every order meets Polymarket's deep order book.
Querétaro FC vs. Club Puebla - More Markets: O/U 2.56%▼56
Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026?: 40-6467%▲49
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.53%▼48
Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: Vitesse Arnhem7%▼47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause): November 817%▼35
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.554%▼32
Penguins vs. Ducks: Penguins vs. Ducks: O/U 7.510%▼27
Pelicans vs. Clippers: Pelicans vs. Clippers34%▼18
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?: 260-27940%▲17
Heat vs. Kings: Heat vs. Kings89%▲13
Buccaneers vs. Bears: Buccaneers vs. Bears20%▼9
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?43%▲7
Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?: November 10 (11:59 PM ET)18%▼6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B: Match Winner75%▲6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?: November 1591%▲4
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?: November 3029%▲4
Markets moving now
How it works
Three steps from opinion to position.
- 1
Add funds
Pay with a card, Apple Pay or Google Pay, or send USDC from any chain. Funds land in your own wallet.
- 2
Pick an outcome
Buy Yes or No on any market. A price of 34¢ means the crowd sees a 34% chance.
- 3
Get paid if you're right
Each correct share pays $1 when the market resolves. Or sell any time before that at the live price.
Why TwapTrade
The same markets. A better way to trade them.
Prices you can actually trade at
Every outcome shows the real buy and sell price and the spread, not just a midpoint.
Your keys, your funds
Sign in with email or Google and get a self-custody wallet. We never hold your money.
Built for every screen
Thumb-first trading on phones, two panes on tablets, a full trading desk on ultrawide monitors.
Fast for power users
Press ⌘K or / to search any market. Order books and trades stream in live.
Colour-vision mode
Switch Yes/No to blue and orange. Every price also carries a label and an arrow.
Card deposits in minutes
Visa, Mastercard, Apple Pay and Google Pay in 150+ countries, or any crypto.
FAQ
Questions, answered.
A market where you buy shares in the outcome of a real event. Each share pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price is the crowd's estimate of the probability.




