Skip to content
Twap
Trade
Markets
Politics
Sports
Crypto
How it works
Search markets
⌘K
Log in
Sign up
Home
Markets
Search
Portfolio
Economy
Live odds, updated by the second.
Trending
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Finance
Geopolitics
Tech
AI
Economy
World
Culture
Esports
Weather
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
7
7
%
77%
Yes
No
No change
2
3
%
23%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
$17M vol
+2 more
31d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
7
%
7%
chance
Yes
6
.
5
¢
6.5¢
No
9
3
.
5
¢
93.5¢
$17M vol
2
points down today
53d left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
2 (50 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
1 (25 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
$56M vol
+10 more
131
53d left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
7
8
%
78%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$1.3M vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 28, 2027
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple
6
9
%
69%
Yes
No
NVIDIA
2
9
%
29%
Yes
No
Microsoft
<1%
Yes
No
$9.9M vol
+5 more
53d left
Largest Company end of November 2026?
Apple
8
1
%
81%
Yes
No
NVIDIA
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
Tesla
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$139K vol
+8 more
22d left
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
Hike–Pause–Pause
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
Other
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$638K vol
31d left
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%
>99%
Yes
No
≤0.6%
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
1.1% to 1.2%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$71K vol
+2 more
21h left
Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?
25 bps increase
6
6
%
66%
Yes
No
No Change
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$27K vol
+2 more
Ends Feb 5, 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
7
5
%
75%
chance
Yes
7
5
¢
75¢
No
2
5
¢
25¢
$1.6M vol
0
points down today
31d left
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
2.6%
8
5
%
85%
Yes
No
2.5%
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
2.7%
<1%
Yes
No
$42K vol
+7 more
2d left
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
0.8%–1.6%
3
1
%
31%
Yes
No
0.0%–0.8%
2
9
%
29%
Yes
No
-0.8%–0.0%
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
$77K vol
+7 more
8d left
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$403K - $407K
3
9
%
39%
Yes
No
$407K - $411K
3
2
%
32%
Yes
No
<$403K
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
$63K vol
+4 more
Ends Jan 11, 2027
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%
5
4
%
54%
Yes
No
3.0–3.4%
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
4.0-4.4%
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$167K vol
+6 more
Ends Jan 21, 2027
ISM Manufacturing PMI - November 2026
54.0 to 54.9
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
55.0 to 55.9
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
56.0 to 56.9
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
$14K vol
+6 more
22d left
Swiss National Bank Decision in March?
No Change
6
6
%
66%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
3
2
%
32%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$23K vol
+2 more
Ends Mar 18, 2027
Core PCE YoY - October 2026
3.2%
3
2
%
32%
Yes
No
3.3%
2
9
%
29%
Yes
No
3.1%
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$17K vol
+4 more
16d left
Fed Decision in April?
No change
6
5
%
65%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$53K vol
+2 more
Ends Apr 28, 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
January 2027 Meeting
7
%
7%
Yes
No
March 2027 Meeting
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
July 2027 Meeting
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
+3 more
31
Ends Jan 29, 2028
US recession by end of 2027?
2
8
%
28%
chance
Yes
2
7
.
5
¢
27.5¢
No
7
2
.
5
¢
72.5¢
$23K vol
4
points down today
Ends Dec 31, 2027
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M
4
3
%
43%
Yes
No
3.0 - 3.5M
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
<2.0M
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$170K vol
+3 more
53d left
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
0.2%
4
0
%
40%
Yes
No
0.4%
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$47K vol
+6 more
2d left
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
$445K - $458K
4
0
%
40%
Yes
No
<$445K
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
$458K - $471K
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
$58K vol
+4 more
Ends Jan 11, 2027
Swiss National Bank Decision in June?
No Change
4
8
%
48%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$23K vol
+2 more
Ends Jun 24, 2027
Sort markets
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Ending soon
Newest
Most competitive
