
Below 4.61%
$1.5K vol
Below 4.82%
$640 vol
Below 4.73%
$565 vol
Below 4.64%
$526 vol
Below 4.79%
$502 vol
Below 4.70%
$467 vol
Below 4.76%
$405 vol
Below 4.67%
$383 vol
Order book
Recent trades
LiveThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Below 4.61%
18%