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Iran Nuke before 2027?
$1.6M vol $105K liquidity Jan 1, 2027
Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.4¢Spread 0.3¢
3%chance
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".