Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Outcome

ChanceChance

Sam Bankman-Fried

$163K vol

2%

Elon Musk

$70K vol

10%

1

Martin Shkreli

$41K vol

3%

Himself

$40K vol

4%

2

Diddy

$36K vol

3%

Ryan Salame

$36K vol

5%

1

Ghislaine Maxwell

$33K vol

3%

1

Derek Chauvin

$30K vol

3%

Order book

PriceSharesTotal

Recent trades

Live

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.