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Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?
>99%
chance
Yes
9
9
.
6
¢
99.6¢
No
0
.
4
¢
0.4¢
LIVE
$4.2K vol
36
points up today
1
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
6
5
%
65%
Yes
No
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
Lula, Bennett, Dems
<1%
Yes
No
$566K vol
3
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
5.50-5.99%
3
1
%
31%
Yes
No
4.50-4.99%
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
$213K vol
+7 more
1
Ends Jan 13, 2027
Brazil presidential election annulled?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
2
¢
2.2¢
No
9
7
.
9
¢
97.9¢
$62K vol
12
53d left
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
2
1
%
21%
chance
Yes
2
1
¢
21¢
No
7
9
¢
79¢
$19K vol
17
points up today
4
Ends Apr 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
No Change
8
9
%
89%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
6
%
6%
Yes
No
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$65K vol
+2 more
30d left
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Paes wins
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
Ruas 20%+
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
Ruas <5%
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$57K vol
+3 more
5
Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Dario Durigan
5
5
%
55%
Yes
No
Geraldo Alckmin
4
3
%
43%
Yes
No
Rafael Fonteles
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
$12K vol
+7 more
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
June 30, 2027
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
June 30, 2028
2
9
%
29%
Yes
No
$31K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2028
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
December 31, 2026
5
%
5%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
$32K vol
+2 more
2
Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
1
4
%
14%
chance
Yes
1
4
¢
14¢
No
8
6
¢
86¢
$5.5K vol
6
points down today
1
53d left
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
<-0.3%
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
-0.3% to -0.1%
4
1
%
41%
Yes
No
0.0% to 0.2%
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$50K vol
+4 more
23d left
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
1
6
%
16%
chance
Yes
1
5
.
5
¢
15.5¢
No
8
4
.
5
¢
84.5¢
$207K vol
0
points down today
5
53d left
Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?
Camilo Santana
4
7
%
47%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
3
1
%
31%
Yes
No
Gleisi Hoffmann
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$7.8K vol
+4 more
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil Decision in January?
No Change
6
0
%
60%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$13K vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 27, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Mauro Vieira
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
Aloizio Mercadante
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
Celso Amorim
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$3.7K vol
+3 more
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
6
%
6%
chance
Yes
6
.
5
¢
6.5¢
No
9
3
.
6
¢
93.6¢
$105K vol
2
points up today
28
53d left
Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?
↑5.75
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
↑7
5
%
5%
Yes
No
↓4.5
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$4.3K vol
+8 more
53d left
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
No Change
5
7
%
57%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$11K vol
+2 more
Ends Mar 17, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?
Camilo Santana
3
1
%
31%
Yes
No
Wellington César Lima e Silva
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$3.8K vol
+3 more
1
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
2
.
9
¢
2.9¢
No
9
7
.
1
¢
97.1¢
$30K vol
1
53d left
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
6
%
6%
chance
Yes
5
.
9
¢
5.9¢
No
9
4
.
2
¢
94.2¢
$264K vol
127
53d left
Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?
José Múcio
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
Aloizio Mercadante
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
Jaques Wagner
6
%
6%
Yes
No
$2.2K vol
+2 more
2
Ends Mar 1, 2027
Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?
7
%
7%
chance
Yes
6
.
5
¢
6.5¢
No
9
3
.
5
¢
93.5¢
$366 vol
Ends Feb 1, 2027
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