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Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Chris Van Hollen
5
%
5%
Yes
No
Tom Cotton
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$441K vol
+8 more
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
120-125m
9
0
%
90%
Yes
No
115-120m
9
%
9%
Yes
No
95-100m
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$114K vol
+8 more
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 14-16%
8
1
%
81%
Yes
No
Democrats 12-14%
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
Democrats 2-4%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$484K vol
+10 more
1
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
44
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
45
<1%
Yes
No
46
<1%
Yes
No
$998K vol
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Hakeem Jeffries
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Katherine Clark
3
%
3%
Yes
No
Jim Jordan
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$76K vol
+3 more
3
House Majority Leader of the next Congress?
Katherine Clark
9
7
%
97%
Yes
No
Pete Aguilar
2
%
2%
Yes
No
Hakeem Jeffries
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$20K vol
+7 more
55d left
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
John Thune
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Tom Cotton
1
%
1%
Yes
No
John Barrasso
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$47K vol
+6 more
55d left
Government shutdown by...?
December 12
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
December 31
5
6
%
56%
Yes
No
$48K vol
53d left
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
215-219
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
220-224
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
No vote
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$4.6K vol
+5 more
53d left
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
2
.
9
¢
2.9¢
No
9
7
.
2
¢
97.2¢
$1.9M vol
1
points down today
105
56d left
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
.
4
¢
4.4¢
No
9
5
.
6
¢
95.6¢
$78K vol
1
points up today
53d left
Which bills will become law in 2026?
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
AI-chip export licensing
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
Export-control chip security
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
$206K vol
+11 more
1
53d left
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
1
7
%
17%
chance
Yes
1
7
.
5
¢
17.5¢
No
8
2
.
6
¢
82.6¢
$36K vol
2
Ends Jan 1, 2028
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
1
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
2
3
2
%
32%
Yes
No
0
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
$21K vol
+1 more
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
6
9
%
69%
chance
Yes
6
9
¢
69¢
No
3
1
¢
31¢
$133K vol
3
points up today
Ends Jan 20, 2029
How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?
15-19
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
20-24
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
0-4
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
$12K vol
+4 more
Ends Jan 1, 2028
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?
January 31, 2027
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
6
1
%
61%
Yes
No
$2.7K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which party will win the Senate in 2028?
Democratic Party
8
7
%
87%
Yes
No
Republican Party
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
$4.9K vol
Ends Nov 8, 2028
Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?
Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas
7
5
%
75%
Yes
No
Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.50
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
$24K vol
53d left
Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?
Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.50
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$47K vol
53d left
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
4
9
%
49%
chance
Yes
4
8
.
5
¢
48.5¢
No
5
1
.
5
¢
51.5¢
$22K vol
0
points down today
Ends Feb 2, 2027
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Mark Warner
5
%
5%
Yes
No
Mike Lee
5
%
5%
Yes
No
Catherine Cortez Masto
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$530K vol
+12 more
1
54d left
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$123K vol
3
53d left
Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027?
1
5
%
15%
chance
Yes
1
5
¢
15¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
$674 vol
56d left
24h volume
