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France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$2.8M vol
18
53d left
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
November 15 - 30, 2026
3
7
%
37%
Yes
No
Before November 15, 2026
2
4
%
24%
Yes
No
December 16 - 31, 2026
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$11K vol
+2 more
54d left
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
1
¢
2.1¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
$39K vol
2
points down today
6
22d left
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
2
3
%
23%
chance
Yes
2
3
¢
23¢
No
7
7
¢
77¢
$17K vol
3
points up today
2
53d left
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$332K vol
5
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
.
3
¢
4.3¢
No
9
5
.
7
¢
95.7¢
$52K vol
2
points up today
12
53d left
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?
35M+
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
33M+
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
30M+
7
8
%
78%
Yes
No
$48K vol
+5 more
53d left
Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner
Céline Amaudruz
4
3
%
43%
Yes
No
Marco Chiesa
2
4
%
24%
Yes
No
Franz Ruppen
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
$3.7K vol
+5 more
31d left
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?
November 30
4
1
%
41%
Yes
No
December 31
7
0
%
70%
Yes
No
$6.6K vol
53d left
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
November 15 - 30, 2026
6
1
%
61%
Yes
No
December 16 - 31, 2026
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
Does not return by January 1, 2027
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$5.7K vol
+2 more
54d left
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
25 bps increase
8
5
%
85%
Yes
No
No change
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
<1%
Yes
No
$64K vol
+2 more
38d left
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0%
8
6
%
86%
Yes
No
0-1.0%
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
<0%
<1%
Yes
No
$96K vol
+6 more
Ends Feb 1, 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
35M+
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
34M+
7
2
%
72%
Yes
No
32M+
9
6
%
96%
Yes
No
$79K vol
+5 more
Poland snap election called by December 31?
5
%
5%
chance
Yes
5
.
1
¢
5.1¢
No
9
4
.
9
¢
94.9¢
$1.4K vol
53d left
ECB Interest Rates: March 2027
No Change
5
5
%
55%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
4
0
%
40%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
6
%
6%
Yes
No
$9.8K vol
+2 more
Ends Mar 18, 2027
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
8
%
8%
chance
Yes
8
¢
8¢
No
9
2
¢
92¢
$20K vol
1
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Next ECB President?
Pablo Hernández de Cos
6
0
%
60%
Yes
No
Klaas Knot
3
7
%
37%
Yes
No
Nadia Calviño
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$6.3K vol
+4 more
1
Ends Feb 8, 2027
Belgium snap election called by December 31?
1
3
%
13%
chance
Yes
1
3
¢
13¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
$907 vol
2
points down today
53d left
ECB Interest Rates: February 2027
No Change
8
0
%
80%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$8.1K vol
+2 more
Ends Feb 4, 2027
Portugal legislative snap election called by December 31, 2027?
3
4
%
34%
chance
Yes
3
4
¢
34¢
No
6
6
¢
66¢
$935 vol
1
points up today
3
Ends Jan 1, 2028
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
November 15
<1%
Yes
No
$340K vol
4
53d left
Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?
7
8
%
78%
chance
Yes
7
8
¢
78¢
No
2
2
¢
22¢
$5.8K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?
December 31
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$5.4K vol
53d left
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
November 30
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$28K vol
12
22d left
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