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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
4.0%
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
≥ 4.5%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$7.2M vol
+12 more
5
53d left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
4.25%
3
8
%
38%
Yes
No
4.5%
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
3.5%
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
$28K vol
+12 more
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
December 31
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$40K vol
53d left
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
9
7
%
97%
Yes
No
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$162K vol
53d left
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
1
%
1%
chance
Yes
1
.
4
¢
1.4¢
No
9
8
.
6
¢
98.6¢
$6.3K vol
1
53d left
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$475K vol
21
53d left
24h volume
