Markets

Prices update live as people trade.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31

5%

$1.2M vol53d left

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026

5%

$3.9M vol53d left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31

9%

$2.9M vol53d left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31

6%

$4.1M vol53d left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

11%

chance

$100K vol4Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

12%

chance

$355K vol53d left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Turkey

3%

Saudi Arabia

3%

Azerbaijan

4%

$1.9M vol+9 more53d left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

December 31

76%

$75K vol53d left

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; No Phase II

92%

Dem sweep; Phase II deal

9%

$19K volEnds Jan 1, 2028

Palestinian elections delayed again?

63%

chance

$229 volEnds Sep 12, 2027

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

5%

chance

$5.3K vol253d left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

December 31

8%

$145K vol53d left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%

chance

$93K vol53d left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

5%

chance

$187K vol153d left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

December 31

9%

$780K vol53d left