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Weather
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
December 31
5
6
%
56%
Yes
No
November 15
9
1
%
91%
Yes
No
November 30
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
$50M vol
+4 more
535
53d left
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31
3
1
%
31%
Yes
No
November 30
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$929K vol
17
53d left
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 6
>99%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
208
53d left
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$8.7M vol
+1 more
222
53d left
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
November 30
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
$11M vol
1.0k
53d left
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff
3
8
%
38%
Yes
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
$2.1M vol
+21 more
53d left
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
November 8
9
9
%
99%
Yes
No
November 9
6
7
%
67%
Yes
No
November 7
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
$26K vol
+22 more
22d left
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?
November 30, 2026
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
January 31, 2027
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
$73K vol
1
Ends Feb 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31
6
1
%
61%
Yes
No
Qatar
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
Switzerland
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$261K vol
+16 more
52d left
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
December 31
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
$343K vol
53d left
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
$160K vol
3
53d left
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
8
6
%
86%
Yes
No
5
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
6
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$7.8M vol
+9 more
53d left
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
5
8
%
58%
chance
Yes
5
8
¢
58¢
No
4
2
¢
42¢
$7.3K vol
8
points down today
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 31
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$1.8M vol
62
53d left
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
November 30
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
$26K vol
1
22d left
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
October 6
6
2
%
62%
Yes
No
$193K vol
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
November 30
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
December 31
5
0
%
50%
Yes
No
$844 vol
53d left
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
November 30
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
December 31
4
7
%
47%
Yes
No
$634K vol
11
53d left
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
December 31
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$334K vol
4
53d left
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31
6
%
6%
Yes
No
March 31
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$1.4M vol
26
Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
1
6
%
16%
chance
Yes
1
6
.
5
¢
16.5¢
No
8
3
.
5
¢
83.5¢
$56K vol
5
53d left
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
1
6
%
16%
chance
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
4
¢
84¢
$34K vol
53d left
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1
%
1%
chance
Yes
1
.
4
¢
1.4¢
No
9
8
.
7
¢
98.7¢
$196K vol
2
53d left
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
1
.
5
¢
1.5¢
No
9
8
.
5
¢
98.5¢
$253K vol
53d left
24h volume
