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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1
3
%
13%
chance
Yes
1
2
.
5
¢
12.5¢
No
8
7
.
5
¢
87.5¢
$79M vol
2
points up today
1
53d left
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 6
>99%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
206
53d left
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
November 30
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
November 15
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$35K vol
22d left
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
November 30
9
1
%
91%
Yes
No
December 31
8
6
%
86%
Yes
No
$2.6M vol
11
53d left
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
November 15
8
5
%
85%
Yes
No
November 30
9
5
%
95%
Yes
No
$5.9K vol
22d left
Israel military action against Iraq by...?
October 31
9
%
9%
Yes
No
November 30
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
$12K vol
1
22d left
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$332K vol
5
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
November 30
5
2
%
52%
Yes
No
$38K vol
22d left
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
October 15
6
%
6%
Yes
No
October 4
9
3
%
93%
Yes
No
October 5
9
7
%
97%
Yes
No
$167K vol
+12 more
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
November 15
8
6
%
86%
Yes
No
November 30
8
7
%
87%
Yes
No
$4.5K vol
22d left
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...?
November 8
9
6
%
96%
Yes
No
November 9
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
November 17
8
4
%
84%
Yes
No
$126K vol
+20 more
22d left
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
November 30
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
December 31
4
1
%
41%
Yes
No
$125K vol
53d left
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
October 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
December 31
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
$102K vol
53d left
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?
December 31
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
$15K vol
53d left
Will Hezbollah target Israel by...?
November 15
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
November 30
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
$1.6K vol
1
22d left
Houthis target Syria by...?
December 31
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$5.0K vol
53d left
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
November 30
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
$26K vol
22d left
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
December 31
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
$151K vol
53d left
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
November 30
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
$10K vol
22d left
Houthis target Pakistan by...?
December 31
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$13K vol
53d left
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
November 30
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
November 15
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
October 31
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$66K vol
22d left
Turkey military action against Yemen by...?
December 31
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$8.9K vol
53d left
Ethiopia targets Eritrea by...?
October 31
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
$1.8K vol
1
53d left
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
September 20
2
4
%
24%
Yes
No
September 24
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
September 28
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$123K vol
+5 more
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