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NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
November 30
4
%
4%
Yes
No
November 15
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$13M vol
558
55d left
Will Russia invade another country by...?
December 31, 2026
2
%
2%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
$757K vol
14
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2026
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$5.6M vol
64
53d left
NATO article 5 before 2027?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
3
.
5
¢
3.5¢
No
9
6
.
6
¢
96.6¢
$308K vol
53d left
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$332K vol
5
Ends Jan 1, 2028
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
6
%
6%
chance
Yes
6
¢
6¢
No
9
4
¢
94¢
$6.7K vol
1
points down today
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
8
%
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
2
8
%
28%
Yes
No
$183K vol
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$6.4M vol
68
53d left
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
<1%
chance
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
.
1
¢
99.1¢
$1.3M vol
53d left
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?
October 31
4
%
4%
Yes
No
November 30
8
8
%
88%
Yes
No
November 15
6
6
%
66%
Yes
No
$1.7K vol
22d left
Will NATO countries clash with each other by...?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
4
¢
2.4¢
No
9
7
.
6
¢
97.6¢
$66K vol
8
Ends Jan 1, 2028
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
.
4
¢
4.4¢
No
9
5
.
7
¢
95.7¢
$22K vol
53d left
NATO dissolves before 2027?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
1
.
6
¢
1.6¢
No
9
8
.
5
¢
98.5¢
$126K vol
13
53d left
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$463K vol
53d left
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
7
%
7%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$1.4M vol
26
Ends Jan 1, 2028
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$488K vol
14
53d left
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