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Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
Hike–Pause–Pause
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
Other
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$638K vol
31d left
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
8
9
%
89%
chance
Yes
8
8
.
5
¢
88.5¢
No
1
1
.
5
¢
11.5¢
$913K vol
1
points up today
53d left
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
7
1
%
71%
Yes
No
Pause-Pause-Hike
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
Pause-Pause-Pause
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$176K vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 27, 2027
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
¢
4¢
No
9
6
¢
96¢
LIVE
$665K vol
25
Elon Bull Run Combo
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
1
.
9
¢
1.9¢
No
9
8
.
1
¢
98.1¢
$13K vol
2
54d left
Nothing Ever Happens: November
9
6
%
96%
chance
Nothing
9
5
.
5
¢
95.5¢
Something
4
.
5
¢
4.5¢
$5.8K vol
1
points up today
22d left
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
9
6
%
96%
chance
Nothing
9
6
.
4
¢
96.4¢
Something
3
.
6
¢
3.6¢
$12K vol
2
53d left
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
9
8
%
98%
chance
Nothing
9
7
.
9
¢
97.9¢
Something
2
.
2
¢
2.2¢
$18K vol
4
53d left
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
9
7
%
97%
Yes
No
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$162K vol
53d left
Natural Disaster in 2026?
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
¢
4¢
No
9
6
¢
96¢
$254K vol
2
points down today
17
Ends Mar 1, 2027
24h volume
