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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$78M vol
1.7k
53d left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
8
9
%
89%
Yes
No
Anthropic
9
%
9%
Yes
No
OpenAI
<1%
Yes
No
$7.8M vol
+9 more
58
54d left
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
Yang-Mills
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
Hodge Conjecture
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
$334K vol
+3 more
1
Ends Jan 1, 2028
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0
9
0
%
90%
Yes
No
2
5
%
5%
Yes
No
1
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$483K vol
+3 more
6
53d left
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
November 30
<1%
Yes
No
$33K vol
1
53d left
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$1.2M vol
19
Ends Jan 1, 2028
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027
6
5
%
65%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
September 30, 2027
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
$263K vol
Ends Jan 1, 2028
New pandemic in 2026?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
1
¢
2.1¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
$1.3M vol
53d left
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?
8
7
%
87%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
7
9
%
79%
Yes
No
$111K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026
9
3
%
93%
Yes
No
Chopsticks catch Starship?
7
0
%
70%
Yes
No
November 15, 2026
4
5
%
45%
Yes
No
$70K vol
+3 more
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2027
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
Yes
No
December 31, 2028
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
$34K vol
Ends Jan 1, 2029
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑10k
4
%
4%
Yes
No
↑12.5k
3
%
3%
Yes
No
↑7.5k
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
$8.3M vol
+4 more
53d left
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2026
9
%
9%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
6
8
%
68%
Yes
No
$546K vol
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Human moon landing in 2026?
<1%
chance
Yes
0
.
7
¢
0.7¢
No
9
9
.
4
¢
99.4¢
$2.0M vol
34
53d left
US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)
51.0+
9
1
%
91%
Yes
No
52.5+
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
52.0+
5
6
%
56%
Yes
No
$8.8K vol
+2 more
Ends May 1, 2027
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
8
8
%
88%
Yes
No
120-139
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
180-199
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$347K vol
+2 more
53d left
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
December 31
7
4
%
74%
Yes
No
June 30
9
2
%
92%
Yes
No
$29K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
How many US births in 2026?
3.56M–3.59M
5
0
%
50%
Yes
No
3.53M–3.56M
3
8
%
38%
Yes
No
3.65M+
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$22K vol
+4 more
Ends May 1, 2027
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
2nd hottest
6
%
6%
Yes
No
3rd hottest
<1%
Yes
No
$12K vol
+1 more
50d left
Precipitation in NYC in November?
<2"
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
2-3"
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
3.5-4.25"
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
$1.2K vol
+3 more
Ends Feb 8, 2027
Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
35-60mm
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
95mm+
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
10-25mm
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
$3.6K vol
+4 more
Ends Feb 8, 2027
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
1
.
5
¢
1.5¢
No
9
8
.
5
¢
98.5¢
$31K vol
53d left
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
December 31, 2026
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$24K vol
4
53d left
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Hodge Conjecture
9
%
9%
Yes
No
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
7
%
7%
Yes
No
Riemann Hypothesis
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$67K vol
+11 more
53d left
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