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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
3
5
%
35%
Yes
No
November 30
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
November 15
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$50M vol
+1 more
938
53d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1
3
%
13%
chance
Yes
1
2
.
5
¢
12.5¢
No
8
7
.
5
¢
87.5¢
$79M vol
2
points up today
1
53d left
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
4
3
%
43%
chance
Yes
4
2
.
5
¢
42.5¢
No
5
7
.
5
¢
57.5¢
$2.1M vol
7
points up today
53d left
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
7
7
%
77%
Yes
No
No change
2
3
%
23%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
$17M vol
+2 more
31d left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Delcy Rodríguez
6
%
6%
Yes
No
No Head of State
<1%
Yes
No
$100M vol
+13 more
510
53d left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026
4
0
%
40%
Yes
No
November 30, 2026
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$1.6M vol
53d left
Trump out as President before 2027?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
2
¢
2.2¢
No
9
7
.
9
¢
97.9¢
$14M vol
1
points down today
53d left
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
Chris Van Hollen
5
%
5%
Yes
No
Tom Cotton
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$441K vol
+8 more
2
Next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
Scott Jennings
7
%
7%
Yes
No
Monica Crowley
4
%
4%
Yes
No
$696K vol
+31 more
21
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pete Hegseth
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
Kash Patel
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
$2.3M vol
+12 more
53d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
2
.
8
¢
2.8¢
No
9
7
.
3
¢
97.3¢
$30M vol
6
53d left
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?
1
7
%
17%
chance
Yes
1
6
.
5
¢
16.5¢
No
8
3
.
5
¢
83.5¢
$62K vol
1
53d left
US imports Russian diesel by...?
November 30
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
December 31
2
4
%
24%
Yes
No
January 31
2
4
%
24%
Yes
No
$1.2M vol
+2 more
62
Ends Apr 1, 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31
3
5
%
35%
Yes
No
November 30
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
18
53d left
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China
8
8
%
88%
Yes
No
No meeting by December 31
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
United States
<1%
Yes
No
$2.4M vol
+12 more
53d left
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 6
>99%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
206
53d left
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
December 31, 2026
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
November 15, 2026
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$236K vol
+2 more
3
Ends Apr 1, 2027
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Ursula von der Leyen
3
9
%
39%
Yes
No
Emmanuel Macron
6
8
%
68%
Yes
No
Mark Carney
9
4
%
94%
Yes
No
$297K vol
+19 more
22d left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
7
8
%
78%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$1.3M vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 28, 2027
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
44
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
45
<1%
Yes
No
46
<1%
Yes
No
$998K vol
What will Trump say during "60 Minutes" extended interview?
Ballroom
4
%
4%
Yes
No
Susie / Wiles
2
7
%
27%
Yes
No
Transgender
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$25K vol
+6 more
7
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
9
6
%
96%
Yes
No
US
2
%
2%
Yes
No
Qatar / UAE
<1%
Yes
No
$4.2M vol
+11 more
53d left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2
%
2%
chance
Yes
2
.
5
¢
2.5¢
No
9
7
.
6
¢
97.6¢
$25M vol
390
53d left
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
November 30
3
9
%
39%
Yes
No
December 31
7
2
%
72%
Yes
No
$1.2M vol
26
53d left
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