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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
4
3
%
43%
chance
Yes
4
2
.
5
¢
42.5¢
No
5
7
.
5
¢
57.5¢
$2.1M vol
7
points up today
53d left
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
December 31, 2026
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
2
5
%
25%
Yes
No
November 15, 2026
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$236K vol
+2 more
3
Ends Apr 1, 2027
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
$1.8M vol
145
53d left
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
5
%
5%
chance
Yes
5
.
4
¢
5.4¢
No
9
4
.
6
¢
94.6¢
$27K vol
4
points down today
53d left
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
215-219
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
220-224
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
No vote
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$4.6K vol
+5 more
53d left
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
Howard Lutnick
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
$8.7K vol
+22 more
Ends Jan 1, 2029
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
2
0
%
20%
chance
Yes
1
9
.
5
¢
19.5¢
No
8
0
.
5
¢
80.5¢
$23K vol
0
points down today
53d left
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?
January 31, 2027
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
6
1
%
61%
Yes
No
$2.7K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$279K vol
3
53d left
Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
2
5
%
25%
chance
Yes
2
4
.
5
¢
24.5¢
No
7
5
.
5
¢
75.5¢
$578 vol
19
points down today
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
1
7
%
17%
chance
Yes
1
7
¢
17¢
No
8
3
¢
83¢
$12K vol
1
points down today
53d left
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Adam Telle
3
0
%
30%
Yes
No
Marc Andersen
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
Sean Parnell
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
$4.7K vol
+5 more
Ends Jan 19, 2029
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
1
4
%
14%
chance
Yes
1
4
¢
14¢
No
8
6
¢
86¢
$5.7K vol
0
points down today
53d left
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
3
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
7+
1
2
%
12%
Yes
No
4
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$23K vol
+4 more
2
53d left
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
2
4
%
24%
chance
Yes
2
4
¢
24¢
No
7
6
¢
76¢
$26K vol
12
points up today
53d left
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