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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
6
4
%
64%
Yes
No
Benjamin Netanyahu
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
Avigdor Lieberman
7
%
7%
Yes
No
$90M vol
+19 more
1.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1
3
%
13%
chance
Yes
1
2
.
5
¢
12.5¢
No
8
7
.
5
¢
87.5¢
$79M vol
2
points up today
1
53d left
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
9
2
%
92%
Yes
No
Alireza Arafi
3
%
3%
Yes
No
No Head of State
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$41M vol
+27 more
156
53d left
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
November 30
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$21M vol
163
53d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
2
.
8
¢
2.8¢
No
9
7
.
3
¢
97.3¢
$30M vol
6
53d left
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 6
>99%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
206
53d left
Next Israeli government # of seats?
<58
5
7
%
57%
Yes
No
61-63
1
7
%
17%
Yes
No
70-72
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$35K vol
+4 more
1
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
Benjamin Netanyahu
5
8
%
58%
Yes
No
No second mandate
4
2
%
42%
Yes
No
Yair Golan
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$24K vol
+18 more
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 31
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$1.2M vol
53d left
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31
8
%
8%
Yes
No
$581K vol
1
53d left
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
November 8
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
November 9
6
7
%
67%
Yes
No
November 7
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
$26K vol
+22 more
22d left
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
4
6
%
46%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
6
9
%
69%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
6
6
%
66%
Yes
No
$125M vol
29
53d left
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
November 15
4
0
%
40%
Yes
No
November 12
3
%
3%
Yes
No
November 30
9
6
%
96%
Yes
No
$57K vol
22d left
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?
November 30, 2026
1
8
%
18%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
January 31, 2027
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
$73K vol
1
Ends Feb 1, 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
$7.6M vol
415
53d left
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$2.9M vol
357
53d left
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3
%
3%
chance
Yes
2
.
8
¢
2.8¢
No
9
7
.
3
¢
97.3¢
$1.6M vol
1
points down today
53d left
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
December 31
2
0
%
20%
Yes
No
November 30
1
0
%
10%
Yes
No
$172K vol
8
53d left
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$19M vol
219
53d left
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$22M vol
438
53d left
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M
4
3
%
43%
Yes
No
3.0 - 3.5M
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
<2.0M
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$170K vol
+3 more
53d left
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
1
3
%
13%
chance
Yes
1
3
¢
13¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
$48K vol
Ends Jul 1, 2027
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
4
%
4%
chance
Yes
4
.
1
¢
4.1¢
No
9
5
.
9
¢
95.9¢
$2.2M vol
53d left
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$7.9M vol
53d left
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