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Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
7
7
%
77%
Yes
No
No change
2
3
%
23%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
$17M vol
+2 more
31d left
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
9
8
%
98%
Yes
No
2 (50 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
1 (25 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
$56M vol
+10 more
131
53d left
Fed Decision in January?
No change
7
8
%
78%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
9
%
19%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3
%
3%
Yes
No
$1.3M vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 28, 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
Hike–Pause–Pause
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
Other
1
%
1%
Yes
No
$638K vol
31d left
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
7
6
%
76%
chance
Yes
7
5
.
5
¢
75.5¢
No
2
4
.
5
¢
24.5¢
$1.6M vol
31d left
Fed Decision in April?
No change
6
5
%
65%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1
5
%
15%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$53K vol
+2 more
Ends Apr 28, 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
January 2027 Meeting
7
%
7%
Yes
No
March 2027 Meeting
1
3
%
13%
Yes
No
July 2027 Meeting
2
1
%
21%
Yes
No
$3.9M vol
+3 more
31
Ends Jan 29, 2028
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
7
1
%
71%
Yes
No
Pause-Pause-Hike
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
Pause-Pause-Pause
9
%
9%
Yes
No
$176K vol
+2 more
Ends Jan 27, 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
5.33%
5
%
5%
Yes
No
5.25%
7
%
7%
Yes
No
5.29%
5
%
5%
Yes
No
$5.5K vol
+6 more
22d left
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
7
3
%
73%
Yes
No
1
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
2
1
1
%
11%
Yes
No
$50K vol
+2 more
31d left
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%
8
%
8%
Yes
No
5.25%
6
%
6%
Yes
No
5.05%
2
3
%
23%
Yes
No
$261K vol
+3 more
52d left
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.45%
3
8
%
38%
Yes
No
Below 4.35%
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
Below 4.20%
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
$473K vol
+7 more
52d left
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
4.0%
2
2
%
22%
Yes
No
≥ 4.5%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$7.2M vol
+12 more
5
53d left
Fed Decision in March?
No change
5
3
%
53%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
3
6
%
36%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
6
%
6%
Yes
No
$129K vol
+2 more
Ends Mar 18, 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.5%
5
%
5%
Yes
No
5.7%
5
%
5%
Yes
No
6.0%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
$1.1M vol
+2 more
53d left
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.10%
4
3
%
43%
Yes
No
Below 5.15%
5
7
%
57%
Yes
No
Below 5.05%
3
4
%
34%
Yes
No
$273K vol
+7 more
52d left
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?
Below 4.47%
2
9
%
29%
Yes
No
Below 4.53%
4
7
%
47%
Yes
No
Below 4.59%
6
5
%
65%
Yes
No
$2.7K vol
+6 more
22d left
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
Below 5.02%
2
6
%
26%
Yes
No
Below 5.17%
6
4
%
64%
Yes
No
Below 5.14%
4
7
%
47%
Yes
No
$3.1K vol
+6 more
22d left
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?
5.17%
5
%
5%
Yes
No
4.99%
1
6
%
16%
Yes
No
4.87%
3
2
%
32%
Yes
No
$3.3K vol
+6 more
22d left
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%
9
%
9%
Yes
No
6.00%
4
%
4%
Yes
No
5.80%
6
%
6%
Yes
No
$292K vol
+4 more
52d left
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.00%
7
%
7%
Yes
No
Below 4.30%
4
4
%
44%
Yes
No
Below 4.40%
6
8
%
68%
Yes
No
$38K vol
+3 more
53d left
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 3.8%
3
%
3%
Yes
No
Below 3.9%
4
%
4%
Yes
No
Below 4.8%
7
1
%
71%
Yes
No
$525K vol
+13 more
53d left
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
Below 4.38%
4
6
%
46%
Yes
No
Below 4.18%
7
%
7%
Yes
No
Below 4.29%
1
4
%
14%
Yes
No
$4.5K vol
+6 more
22d left
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 2.75%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
↓ 3.0%
2
%
2%
Yes
No
↑ 4.25%
7
6
%
76%
Yes
No
$1.9M vol
+17 more
14
53d left
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